It's been too long since I've made some random, unsubstantiated observations. Lucky you.
- I have used Google Buzz for just a few hours, and I'm already convinced it's a game-changer. Watch out Twitter… and Facebook, you'd better not get too comfortable.
- I really do think I could make a compelling argument for you that Twitter's best bet is for AOL or Yahoo or Microsoft to buy them. Not that any of that would be inherently bad, but I just don't see Twitter surviving and thriving as an independent business over the next few years.
- Social media "fatigue" really seems to be an increasing trend among younger people who have used things like Facebook for awhile. I spoke at an event at Texas A&M recently that really reinforced this point. It will be interesting to see if this is a limited case or something that marketers will have to deal with in coming years.
- I have given up on working with my neighborhood association. It involves the worst elements of government, bureaucracy, volunteering, politics, incompetence, ego, and personal fiefdoms — and very few benefits.
- Lots of people out there are willing to give advice to early-stage entrepreneurs… but if they haven't created an early-stage startup themselves, be careful how much you internalize. There is nothing like starting a company from its earliest stages, and it's a very, very unique business experience.
- Writing a book while starting a company is hard. At some point, I'll share the story of how I got this opportunity, how I made it work, and why I'll never do the two things at the same time again. It's a rewarding life goal achieved, but everything has its costs.
- Facebook is a particularly tough topic for a book, since the platform and/or the rules change about every 3 weeks on average.
- The Austin Technology Incubator has significantly improved its portfolio in my opinion, and is rebuilding its brand around substantive member companies. You heard it here first.
- I'm increasingly of the opinion that networking for the sake of networking is a really bad idea for early stage entrepreneurs. I know this goes against conventional wisdom, but I have a good argument. Later.
- Location-based services are in their v2 with foursquare, Gowalla, and MyTown. No offense to the good folks in those companies, but I really think the act of "checking in" is too hard and lacks enough of a consumer value proposition for any of those services to "win". You'll know you see a winner when 1) there is a real compelling reason for consumers to check in, 2) a lot of it is automated in some way, and 3) there are reasons to do so that will appeal to "Joe Public." These are very much early-adopter technologies today.
- Speaking of location-based services, can Apple really get away with removing apps that surface location-based ads from the App Store? I know they make their own rules, but that's unreal.
- I love the potential of Google Android. My wife has one & it's a pretty neat device. But it isn't quite there right now. Let's see how it evolves before handing it the future. 😉
- We're told that the economy picked up quite a bit in Q4 in the US… yet capital efficient startups are still in vogue. I'm telling ya, this frugality thing is here to stay for a decade or more.
- Finally, I finally yesterday met the first woman I know who likes the iPad branding. Ultimately, I think after the shock wears off it will be OK. But gosh, how obvious is it that Apple's branding team is lacking???
very insightful thoughts on the future.